1.0 INTRODUCTION

In line with the 2017 Tariff Methodology, once every four years, power sector licensees prepare and submit their business plans to the Malawi Energy Regulatory Authority (MERA) for consideration and approval. The Licensee business plans contain revenue requirements for a four -year period to finance both operational and capital requirements. The business plans under consideration cover the period from 2022 to 2026 (Fourth Base Tariff Application). This document has been prepared jointly by Power Market Limited (PML) as Single Buyer and Electricity Supply Corporation of Malawi (ESCOM) Limited which holds Transmission, System and Market Operator (SMO) and Distribution Licensees.

2.0 CONTEXT FOR 2022-26 BUSINESS PLANS

2.1 Power Sector Reforms

The Business Plans have been prepared in the context of Power Sector Reforms being implemented by the Government of Malawi following the enactment of the Electricity Amendment Act in 2016. The main objective of the reforms is to provide a conducive environment for private sector participation in the electricity sector, especially in generation. The reforms culminated into unbundling of generation from ESCOM and the subsequent formation of the Electricity Generation Company (EGENCO) which took over generation assets formally owned by ESCOM. The other key component of the reforms is the establishment of single buyer, transmission, SMO and distribution licensees to perform various activities in the electricity supply chain. Subsequently, Government in 2020 operationalized Power Market Limited to hold the Single Buyer License. As a result of these reforms, the country is now able to procure generation from independent power producers (IPPs) to supplement Government efforts in increasing power supply in the country. Our business plans have been developed to comply with reforms frameworks as provided for in the 2016 Electricity Amendment Act, Licensing conditions and regulatory frameworks.

2.2       Load shedding and Network Reliability

The country is currently experiencing long hours of loadshedding due to inadequate power supply situation. Customers experience up to 10 hours of loadshedding on a regular basis. This situation has a negative impact of the socio-economic development of the country.

The network is also experiencing high volumes of faults and long clearance times. This is as a result of lack of investment in transmission and distribution network asset maintenance, rehabilitation, and expansion.

Customers have expressed their frustration with lack of network reliability evidenced by long hours of load shedding and high network faults as described above. They are frustrated that the power supply situation in the country is not improving despite the electricity bills that they pay.

Considering the above, we have built our business plans to have adequate power supply sources into the country and to increase network reliability.

2.3       Risk and Uncertainty

Determination of revenue requirements for a four-year period carries with it inherent risks and uncertainties due to assumptions used. These risks may arise as result of assumptions made on inflation, exchange rates, sales and revenues, regulatory asset base (RAB), taxes, planned generation capacity etc. These risks will be managed through various instruments such as annual tariff reviews, decoupling mechanism and Automatic Tariff Adjustment Formula (ATAF).

2.4       Sector Performance in 2018-22 Base Tariff Period.

2.4.1    Technical Performance

At the commencement of the 2018-2022 Base Tariff period, the country had a total installed capacity of 426.93MW. A total of 110.36MW of generation was added to the national grid between 2018 and 2022, representing a 24% increase in installed capacity. Out of the110.36MW, 80MW is solar generation installed by JCM, while the rest is hydro generation installed by Electricity Generation Company (EGENCO) Limited (19.1), Mulanje Hydro Limited (8.2 MW) and Cedar Energy (3.06 MW). Within the same period, about 80MW of Aggreko diesel generation was leased to minimize the impact of load shedding. The Aggreko contract has now expired, and they are currently decommissioning.

Despite the above additions, the sector continued to experience inadequate power supplies especially towards the end of the tariff period due to the unavailability of 130MW from Kapichira Power Station because of the damage caused by Cyclone Ana. This was a setback in the sector as Kapichira Power Station provides one-third of installed capacity.

Persistently throughout the period of base tariff, energy sales were below target due to a number of reasons, which include:

  • generation challenges because of the drought experienced in the country between 2017 and 2019.
  • Non-implementation of the phased tariff as approved by the regulator at the beginning of the base tariff period. Some of the planned tariff adjustments were either delayed, reduced or not implemented at all.
  • Non-implementation of automatic tariff adjustment mechanism (ATAF) as provided for in the tariff methodology. Between March 2021 and March 2022, tariffs were supposed to be upward adjusted by 13.3% due to ATAF application alone. The ATAF adjustment is even higher considering the recent devaluation of the local currency and associated inflationary pressure.
  • Lack of adequate framework for conducting annual tariff reviews and reconciliations which has resulted in some of the adjustment mechanisms not taking place.
  • High technical and commercial losses of 22.2% at the end of the tariff period against a target of 16%.
  • Non implementation of planned investments in generation capacity, particularly by independent power producers.

As a result of the revenue deficit in the 2018-22 base tariff period, ESCOM underperformed in some of the key performance indicators.  These include among others, new connections, adherence to customer service charter commitments and implementation of some planned investments/projects. This is because ESCOM prioritized paying generators and IPPs while its operations suffered.

2.4.2   Financial Performance

The sector has reported a total revenue deficit of MK112.5 billion in the period of July 2018 to March 2022. The total achieved revenues for the IPPs, SMO, Distribution, and Bad Debts, were less by MK53.8 billion, MK13.2 billion, MK43.6 billion and MK5.7 billion respectively as compared to the actual costs reported within the same period. The total revenue deficit is explained in table 1 below:-

Table 1: Analysis of Allowed Revenues and Costs [July 2018 to March 2022]

    IPP Cost SBL SMOL TL DL Bad Debts Levies Total
Allowed Revenues MK’000 286,797,822 13,855,164 5,244,019 67,123,104 182,464,359 18,263,543 33,211,074 606,959,085
Impact of Delayed Tariff Adjustment MK’000 (11,653,600) (11,653,600)
Excess Losses MK’000 (11,278,033) (14,776,944) (26,054,977)
Revenue Achieved MK’000 286,797,822 13,855,164 5,244,019 55,845,071 156,033,815 18,263,543 33,211,074 569,250,508
IPP Invoices MK’000 340,608,196 340,608,196
SB Cost MK’000 11,589,050 11,589,050
SMO Cost MK’000 18,395,467 18,395,467
TL Cost MK’000 55,510,122 55,510,122
DL MK’000 199,606,250 199,606,250
Bad Debts MK’000 24,049,489 24,049,489
Levies MK’000 31,958,418 31,958,418
Total Costs MK’000 340,608,196 11,589,050 18,395,467 55,510,122 199,606,250 24,049,489 31,958,418 681,716,992
Total Deficit / Surplus MK’000 (53,810,374) 2,266,114 (13,151,448) 334,949 (43,572,435) (5,785,946) 1,252,656 (112,466,484)

In the 2018-22 base tariff period, the Regulator has been failing to timely grant a tariff increase in line with the approved plan. These delays resulted into ESCOM reporting a tariff revenue deficit of MK11.7 billion. The total deficit on delayed tariff adjustment is a direct cost to the Distribution Licensee.  

On the other hand, ESCOM reported more energy losses than what were allowed by the Regulator in the approved plan. Analysis of the impact of these excess losses presented in the table above indicates that during the period under review ESCOM lost a total MK26.1 billion due to excess energy losses.

The analysis further shows that out of these losses, Transmission Licensee contributed a total amount of MK11.3 billion while MK14.8 billion was contributed by Distribution Licensee.

3.0      OBJECTIVES AND EXPECTED OUTCOMES OF THE 2022-26 BASE TARIFF.

3.1       Focus on customers and stakeholders

In building the 2022-26 business plan, we have listened carefully to the voice of our customers and stakeholders. We have consulted with various stakeholders such as Ministry of Energy, the Energy Regulator (MERA), Malawi Confederation of Chambers of Commerce and Industry (MCCCI), Economists Association of Malawi (ECAMA), Society of Accountants in Malawi (SOCAM), Consumers Association of Malawi (CAMA), Miners Association, Industrial customers (Illovo, Blantyre Water Board), Hardtalk Energy, Sunbird Hotels etc. We also constantly gather feedback from customers through ESCOM’s customer service outlets as well as from social media platforms. The common themes from the feedback received from our customers and stakeholders which have formed the basis of the priorities and objectives of the 2022-26 revenue requirement determination and submission. These priorities and objectives are described below.

3.1.1    Provision of Continuous and Uninterrupted Electricity Supply.

Customers and stakeholders have clearly emphasized the need for continuous availability of electricity. We have responded to this key area of feedback by providing for procurement of adequate power supply sources, and investment in network infrastructure maintenance, rehabilitation, and upgrades.

It is difficult currently to determine true peak demand due to the load shedding being undertaken in the country. Peak demand has been suppressed for a number of years. Two studies have attempted to determine peak demand through modelling in the past few years. The 2017 Integrated Resource Plan estimated peak demand forecast shown in Table 2, whereas the latest demand forecast has been developed in the Cost of Supply Study (2022), presented in Table 3.

Table 2: IRP Peak Demand Forecast

Year 2023 2024 2025 2026
Demand (MW) 618 542 596 654

Table 3: COSS Peak Demand Forecast

Demand Scenario (MW) 2023 2024 2025 2026
High 449 527 573 627
Medium 431 503 544 592
Low 418 485 521 564

Table 4 below shows all the generation and power supply sources that have been contracted to commence operations between now and 2026, while Table 4 shows potential total power supply capacity (including existing) if all the contracted capacity were to be realized in those particular years.

Table 4: Planned New Power Supply Sources Between 2022 and 2026

Company Power Supply Type Contracted Capacity (MW) Commercial Operations Date r
Serengeti Solar 21 2022
Mozambique-Malawi Interconnector Interconnector 50 2023
EGENCO CCGT 50 2023
EGENCO Solar 20 2023
Voltalia Solar 40 2023
Atlas Solar 20 2023
Greencells Solar 34 2023
AZA Gas 75 2023
Gebis Waste Energy Gas 10 2024
Quantel Solar 50 2025
Droege Wind 50 2025
YM Power Wind 109.5 2025
EGENCO Peaking Diesel Diesel 30 2025
Rukuru Power Coal 100 2026

            Table 5: Existing and Planned Power Supply Between 2022 and 2026

Year 2023 2024 2025 2026
Total Potential Power Supply Capacity (MW) 555 844 854 954

Table 5 indicates that the country would have adequate power supply sources to meet the IRP peak demand forecast, being the worst-case demand forecast scenario (assuming all planned projects are implemented as per their planned commercial operations dates). However, to avoid exposing customers to project development uncertainties, the revenue requirements have only included projects which meet a criterion which has been agreed jointly by PML and ESCOM. Using this criterion, only power purchase costs associated with Malawi-Mozambique interconnection and Serengeti Solar Plant have been included in the base revenue requirements. Power purchase costs for other plants (Table 4) becoming operational within the tariff period will be treated via the tariff adjustment mechanisms. Table 6 below shows the total capacity of power supply sources whose power purchase costs have been included in the base revenue requirements.

Table 6: Power Supply Capacity in 2022-2026 Base Tariff Period

Year 2023 2024 2025 2026
Power Supply Capacity (MW) 555 605 605 605

Network reliability is another important aspect to ensure provision of uninterrupted power supply. A total of MK 81.1 billion (MK18.4 billion transmission, MK62.7billion distribution) has been included in the revenue requirement for network maintenance, MK186.6 billion (MK7.2billion transmission, MK179.4billion distribution) for network rehabilitation, MK149.24 billion (MK106.1billion transmission, MK43.2billion distribution) for network reinforcements/upgrade and MK446.2 billion (MK239.6billion transmission, MK206.6billion distribution) for network expansion. Total cost of network reliability is MK863.2 billion (MK371.3billion transmission, MK492 for distribution).

3.1.2    Affordability.

Customers have informed us of the need to have continuous and uninterrupted power supply which is affordable. For this reason, we have deviated from some of the provisions in the Tariff Methodology, as advised by the Regulator (MERA), for the Tariff to be affordable to customers. For example, our asset revaluation has been based on historical costs valuation method to determine regulatory asset base (RAB) used to calculate depreciation and a fair rate of return. This deviation from the Tariff Methodology has led to customer savings of MK182.3 billion from ESCOM.

In terms of customer connections, the main concern received from customers was the need for flexibility in dealing with different types of customers. For example, the current average cost to connect residential customers is approximately MK520 thousand. Feedback from some customers is that they cannot afford to pay the whole connection cost, while others value a fast connection service and have said there should be flexibility to allow them to buy own materials. Customers currently pay a capital contribution of MK65 thousand towards the average cost of a connection, which means the rest (MK455, thousand) is borne by ESCOM to make the connection affordable. Total cost of ESCOM’s contribution for the four-year period is MK 248 billion. We are aware that some customers can pay more towards the cost of a connection in order to facilitate a speedy connection. For this reason, ESCOM is currently reviewing capital contribution charges which will be incorporated in the tariff next year through an annual tariff review. An increase in capital contribution from customers will result in a decrease of the contribution from ESCOM, which will ease financing pressure from ESCOM and accelerate customer connections.

It is also recognized that some of ESCOM’s potential customers cannot afford making any contribution towards the cost of a connection. These potential customers should also not be left behind in order to meet Government’s objective of increasing electricity access. In this regard, ESCOM has made a provision in its revenue requirements to make 40,000 free connections in the tariff period at a total cost of MK 20.8 billion.

3.1.3    Improved Customer Service

ESCOM will undertake a number of initiatives aimed at improving customer service offering. These include operationalization of a customer contact centre, improving corporate image through rehabilitation of offices and facilities, digitization of key customer service processes such as new connection application process and provision of adequate resources commensurate with growth in customer base and the network through implementation of a zoning system. ESCOM will also develop and implement a customer satisfaction survey, a tool for obtaining customer feedback. Total cost for implementing these customer service improvement initiatives is MK10.2 billion over the period.

3.1.4    Sustainability of the Energy Sector.

Stakeholders understand the need for adequate revenues, through provision of cost reflective tariffs to different sector players to ensure sustainability of the sector. There is need to balance revenue requirements of all players and to avoid advantaging one player at the expense of others. All sector players should be treated with fairness.

In addition, there is also a need to stabilize the tariff over the tariff period through the establishment of a sector wide price stabilization fund. This Fund should not just cater for generators and IPPs but all sector Licensees. For this reason, it is being proposed that the scope of the Stabilization Fund be expanded to cater for all Licensees and not just generation licensees. A Stabilization Fund of MK141.43 billion has been included in the revenue requirement for single buyer licensee to cushion licensees and customers from sector wide risks and frequent tariff shocks. The stabilization Fund shall work jointly with the ATAF, similar to the Fuel Stabilization Fund.

3.1.5    Accelerating access to electricity.

Government of Malawi has targeted 30% of the population to have access to grid electricity by 2030. This would require making 1,680,000 new connections by 2030, which would have huge implications on customer bills. In order to balance with the affordability objective, ESCOM has planned to connect a total of 600,000 customers over the tariff period (150,000 per year). These include:

  • 240,000 from the World Bank funded Malawi Electricity Access Project (MEAP).
  • 60,000 from Malawi Rural Electrification Project (MAREP).
  • 300,000 funded by ESCOM through tariff. This includes 40,000 free connections.

ESCOM failed to meet connection targets in the 2018-22 tariff period mainly due to financing arrangements. The requirement that ESCOM should borrow money from banks to connect customers and to claim later from MERA proved a failure, mainly due to the fact that ESCOM could not borrow due to its weak balance sheet. To address this constraint and to accelerate customer connections, ESCOM is proposing to be financed upfront through tariff revenues. ESCOM is committed to ring-fence the revenues for customer connections so that they are solely used for its intended purpose.

3.1.6    Efficiency and Effectiveness.

One   stakeholder feedback that we have received, which is also a key principle in service delivery, is ensuring value for money. PML and ESCOM recognize the importance of efficiency and effectiveness of service delivery at all levels of the electricity value chain and that only efficient costs should be passed on to customers. It is also important that ESCOM undertakes revenue enhancement measures in order to improve collection efficiency and that all sector players also adopt cost containment measures. The following measures will be undertaken by ESCOM in the tariff period.

3.1.6.1 Revenue Enhancement Measures

            Measure 1: Connection inspections and meter audits

Designed to identify and address illegal connections, tampering of meters and correct application of tariff for the meters.

Measure 2: Installation of feeder metering

  • Designed to enhance measurement of losses.
  • Currently, end user tariff absorbs 16%, whereas ESCOM is reporting 22.2% losses. The losses that are in excess of MERA-approved 16% translate to MK29.55 billion.

Measure 3: Automatic meter reading and finalize pre-paid technology rollout

  • Designed to read meters remotely to ensure meter reading is done on a timely basis and in an accurate manner
  • Meter tampering is detected early by software
  • Reduce meter reading errors and collusion possibilities. 
  • Metering problems are detected and acted on immediately
  • Complete roll-out of prepaid technology will release the much-needed liquidity – as collection days of 90 days are outside the mandatory 60 days collection period, and 30 days payment period. 

Measure 4: Ring-fencing of tariff revenues

  • This should facilitate timely identification of variances or deficits when they arise.
  • Failure to ring-fence has resulted in commingling of revenues among the licensees.

In general, ESCOM has planned to reduce technical losses in the tariff period from the current 22.2% to 17.4% at a cost of MK20.4 billion.

3.1.6.2 Cost Containment Measures         

Measure 1: Procurement Efficiency

  • Pursue full implementation of acquisition of inputs from manufacturers, notwithstanding, procurement delays.
  • Request For Quotations (RFQs) subjected to an impartial tender adjudication review regardless of amount. This applies to all procurements.

Measure 2: Contracting Out

  • To achieve more efficiency in construction of major works for Distribution and Transmission, the Corporation plans to contract out construction of major lines/substations to contractors through Engineering Procurement Construction (EPC) arrangements.
  • To achieve the planned 150,000 new connections per year, ESCOM will engage contractors to reinforce its capacity.
  • Apart from contracting out of construction and maintenance works, ESCOM will continue to outsource and utilize third parties such as cash collection services, security and cleanings services.

Measure 3: Mechanization and Digitization

ESCOM will mechanize some of its processes such as line construction and maintenance through the use of equipment and tools aimed at enhancing labour productivity and delivery of service.

From the customer service side, ESCOM will introduce initiatives that will allow customers to get some services online such as new applications, complaints management, queries and electricity payments services.

Measure 4: Staff Costs

  1. To achieve optimal staff compliment, a Human Resource Audit was undertaken, and this is going to be implemented in the tariff period.
  2. A Functional Review has also been undertaken to determine optimal organizational structures for the licensees.
  3. Overtime costs to be managed and closely monitored
  4. ESCOM will review the staff cost ensure that the costs related to maintenance and projects are allocated accordingly.
  5. Recruitment of additional staff will be done in line with the approved organograms
  6. With increased mechanization, labour costs are expected to be managed.

3.1.7    Transparency and Accountability.

To ensure compliance with regulatory requirements, tariff revenues for all Licensees will be ring-fenced in the tariff period. This will ensure that Licensees operate in: (i) an effective and efficient manner, (ii) financially sustainable manner, and (iii) a Fair and transparent manner. In accordance with the Tariff Methodology, PML has set up a ring-fenced Bulk Customer Service Transactions Account (The Settlement Account) meant for collection and disbursement of revenues to all licensees.

Additionally, ESCOM has already undertaken the following steps:

  • Revenues for each Licensee have been segregated based on tariff Allocation.
  • Bank Accounts for Receipting Licensee Revenues have been Operationalized.
  • Direct costs of operating the Licensees and Shared Costs from Corporate Office have been identified.
  • Chart of Accounts to allow for Licensee reporting have been implemented.
  • Ratios for sharing of Corporate Office Costs have been determined.

3.1.8    Network Resilience.

There have been concerns from some of our stakeholders over the resilience of network assets due to the effects of climate change. This has been exemplified by the damage done to generation, transmission and distribution assets in the lower shire due to cyclone Ana. In response, ESCOM will transition from using wood poles to concrete poles in transmission infrastructure which will be designed to withstand effects of climate change. Specifically, ESCOM will invest MK11.93 billion in transmission and distribution infrastructure that has been designed to enhance resilience.

4.0       COST OF DELIVERY ON CUSTOMER AND STAKEHOLDER PRIORITIES

Total cost to deliver on customer and stakeholder priorities over the four years is MK1,650.73 billion. This is comprised of generation purchase costs (MK581.66 billion), single buyer licensee costs (MK167.90 billion), transmission licensee costs (MK112.15 billion), system and market operator licensee costs (MK30.2 billion) and distribution licensee costs (MK758.82 billion).

Figure 1 shows the composition of the individual cost components as a percentage of total costs.

Figure 1: Composition of Revenue Requirements

Below is a summary of the Revenue Requirements for the individual cost components in the electricity value chain.

4.1       Power Purchase Costs

The planned power procurements in the fourth base tariff will be sourced from hydro, thermal and solar. It also recognizes the fact that EGENCO is the largest generator and contributes over 75% of the generation capacity for the country, mainly from its hydro power plants. Therefore, power purchase costs have considered revised tariffs for the EGENCO hydro and thermal power plants. The purchase costs for all the planned energy and capacity are summarized in Table 7 below.

Table 7: Total Purchase Costs

Description Unit Base Year 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Total
 Installed Capacity   MW 537.29 558.30 608.30 608.30 608.30 2,383.18
 Energy Generated  GWh  2,216.30 1,922.86 2,525.14 2,612.74 2,612.74 9,673.48
 Energy Purchase Cost   MK Billion                     30.78                         44.24                                          73.28                                82.56                      82.75                       282.83
 Capacity Purchase Cost  MK Billion                     58.99                         69.01                                          69.75                                71.45                      72.67                       282.88
 Total Purchase Cost  MK Billion                     89.77                       113.25                                        143.03                              154.01                    155.42                       565.71

The total power purchase cost for the power supply sources for the four-year fourth base tariff period is MK565.71 billion. If the wheeling charges for Mozambique-Malawi interconnector amounting to MK15.95 billion are included, the total power purchase costs amount to MK581.66billion.

4.2       Single Buyer Licensee Costs

Power Market Limited (PML) was set up in January 2020, as an independent entity to operationalize the Single Buyer function within the electricity supply chain. PML was granted a Single Buyer License by the Regulator in December 2020. The duties and functions of the Single Buyer are set out in Section 20B of the Electricity (Amendment) Act, as follows:

  1. prepare long term forecast of demand, taking into consideration the targets of electric supply coverage and expected economic growth in consultation with the Minister;
  2. undertake least cost long-term generation and transmission plan;
  3. prepare a ranking of generation projects to be tendered out with the approval of the Minister;
  4. prepare a ranking of transmission projects to be built, in coordination with transmission licensee, with the approval of the Minister;
  5. organize, with the approval of the Minister, open tenders for independent power producers that will comply with guidelines established by the Authority;
  6. evaluate unsolicited proposal from independent power producers and recommend to the Minister for approval;
  7. negotiate and submit power purchase contracts to the Authority for approval, and sign contracts with independent power producers;
  8. prepare the annual generation forecast;
  9. conclude power purchase agreements with generation licensees;
  10. conclude power supply contracts with distribution licensees; and
  11. conclude power purchase agreements for importation and exportation of electricity.

4.2.1    Single Buyer Revenue Requirement

The total Single Buyer revenue requirement amounts to MK167.90 billion. Out of this amount, MK26.48 is SB own costs comprising SB assets (MK 4.76 billion), Bank Guarantee charges (MK4.24 billion) and SB operational costs (MK17.47 billion). The balance of MK141.43 billion is capital for Stabilization Fund which is three months’ worth of power purchase costs. The main purpose of this account is to offset the claims by the Licensees and therefore act as guarantee for the supply of the required funds. The Stabilization fund, although part of SB revenue requirement, is meant to cater for all licensees in the sector. The specific revenue requirement for SB operations stands at 2% of the sector revenue requirement (MK26.74 billion).

Table 8 Single Buyer Revenue Requirement       

SB Account Costs Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Total
Electricity Purchased GWh 1,923 2,525 2,613 2,613 9,673
Annual Purchase Cost MK ‘000 113,251,795 143,030,513 154,008,813 155,418,041 565,709,163
Bank Guarantee Charges MK ‘000 849,388 1,072,729 1,155,066 1,165,635 4,242,819
Total SB Account Costs MK ‘000 114,101,184 144,103,242 155,163,879 156,583,677 569,951,982
RAB Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Total
Stabilization Fund MK ‘000 28,312,949 35,757,628 38,502,203 38,854,510 141,427,291
SB Assets MK ‘000 3,109,987 500,000 550,000 605,000 4,764,987
Total RAB MK ‘000 31,422,936 36,257,628 39,052,203 39,459,510 146,192,278
GENERAL EXPENSES Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Total
Personnel Expenses MK ‘000 1,253,993 1,416,667 1,558,334 1,714,167 5,943,161
Operations MK ‘000 1,368,809 1,505,690 1,656,259 1,821,885 6,352,643
Administration MK ‘000 1,114,587 1,226,046 1,348,650 1,483,515 5,172,798
Total                  3,737,389             4,148,403           4,563,243             5,019,567          17,468,602
REVENUE REQUIREMENT Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Total
General Expenses MK ‘000 3,737,389 4,148,403 4,563,243 5,019,567 17,468,602
SB Assets MK ‘000 3,109,987 500,000 550,000 605,000 4,764,987
Bank Guarantee Charges MK ‘000 849,388 1,072,729 1,155,066 1,165,635 4,242,819
Total MK ‘000 7,696,764 5,721,131 6,268,309 6,790,202 26,476,407
Stabilization Fund MK ‘000 28,312,949 35,757,628 38,502,203 38,854,510 141,427,291
Total SB Costs MK ‘000 36,009,713 41,478,760 44,770,512 45,644,713 167,903,698
Total MK ‘000 52,507,127 58,756,101 63,772,889 65,276,419 236,152,549
Energy Billed to Customers kWh 1,516,197,723 2,023,599,119 2,149,733,176 2,176,711,284 7,866,241,303
SB Tariff (SB Operations) MK/KWh 5.08 2.83 2.92 3.12 3.48
SB Tariff (Stabilization Fund) MK/KWh 18.67 17.67 17.91 17.85 18.03

4.3       Transmission Licensee Costs

ESCOM Transmission Business evolves from the Electricity amendment act 2016, whose mandate is to;

  • Build, operate and maintain the transmission network in Malawi.
  • Undertake transmission planning in collaboration with the Single Buyer licensee.
  • Provide information for the Single Buyer licensee’s planning activities.
  • Coordinate the operation of the transmission system with the System and Market Operator licensee.
  • Comply with the operation procedures and criteria established in the Market Rules and Grid Code for the reliable and economic operation of the transmission system; and
  • Coordinate the importation and exportation of electricity as instructed by the Single Buyer Licensee. 

4.3.1    Transmission Revenue Requirements   

The total Revenue Requirement for the Transmission Licensee is MK112.2 billion composed of MK63 billion OPEX, MK15.7 billion Depreciation, and MK33.4 billion Return on Assets. The table below presents the total Revenue Requirements for the Transmission Licensee in order to discharge its mandate to its stakeholders.

Table 7: Transmission Revenue Requirement

REVENUE REQUIREMENT Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 TOTAL
OPEX MWK ‘000 13,344,180 14,776,606 16,456,451 18,443,794 63,021,031
Depreciation MWK ‘000 1,618,558 2,820,801 4,462,300 6,826,571 15,728,230
Return MWK ‘000 3,540,925 6,264,432 9,767,232 13,825,717 33,398,306
Total MWK ‘000 18,503,663 23,861,839 30,685,984 39,096,082 112,147,568
OPERATING EXPENSES Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 TOTAL
Payroll MWK ‘000 3,958,482 4,354,331 4,789,764 5,268,740 18,371,317
Services, supplies and sundries MWK ‘000 1,402,509 1,558,950 1,748,246 1,979,517 6,689,222
Maintenance MWK ‘000 3,858,133 4,288,485 4,809,214 5,445,414 18,401,246
Operations MWK ‘000 820,495 912,017 1,022,758 1,158,057 3,913,327
Training expenses MWK ‘000 120,488 133,927 150,189 170,058 574,662
Share of Head Office Cost MWK ‘000 3,184,072 3,528,896 3,936,281 4,422,007 15,071,256
Total MWK ‘000 13,344,180 14,776,606 16,456,451 18,443,794 63,021,031
REGULATED ASSET BASE Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 TOTAL
Capex
Existing Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 10,925,809 10,141,592 9,597,637 8,984,653 8,984,653
New Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 9,513,131 27,086,845 49,087,410 74,508,577 74,508,577
Total Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 20,438,940 37,228,437 58,685,047 83,493,229 83,493,230
DEPRECIATION
Existing network Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 897,697 784,216 655,116 612,984 2,950,013
New network Assets- Utility funded MWK ‘000 720,862 2,036,585 3,807,184 6,213,587 12,778,218
Total – Utility funded MWK ‘000 1,618,558 2,820,801 4,462,300 6,826,571 15,728,230
GROSS ASSETS
Existing Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 18,722,112 18,722,112 18,722,112 18,722,112 18,722,112
New Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 10,233,993 23,399,534 35,596,617 49,677,537 49,677,537
Total – Utility funded MWK ‘000 28,956,105 42,121,646 54,318,729 68,399,649 68,399,649
HO Share – Existing Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 8,364,839 8,364,839 8,364,839 8,364,839 8,364,839
HO Share – New Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 988,239 1,273,914 2,949,399 7,816,402 7,816,402
Total – Utility funded (excl HO) MWK ‘000 19,603,027 32,482,893 43,004,491 52,218,408 52,218,408
WORKING CAPITAL
Working Capital MWK ‘000 1,418,620 1,440,898 1,606,510 1,850,704 1,850,704
RAB
Net Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 20,438,940 37,228,437 58,685,047 83,493,229 83,493,229
Working Capital MWK ‘000 1,418,620 1,440,898 1,606,510 1,850,704 1,850,704
RAB MWK ‘000 21,857,560 38,669,334 60,291,557 85,343,933 85,343,933
INVESTMENT COST Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 TOTAL
WACC nominal pre-tax % 16.20% 16.20% 16.20% 16.20% 16.20%
Depreciation MWK ‘000 1,618,558 2,820,801 4,462,300 6,826,571 15,728,230
Allowed Return MWK ‘000 3,540,925 6,264,432 9,767,232 13,825,717 33,398,306
Total MWK ‘000 3,540,925 6,264,432 9,767,232 13,825,717 33,398,306

4.3.2    Operational Expenditure (OPEX)

Apart from building and expanding the system, the Transmission Licensee is also mandated to operate and maintain the transmission network in Malawi. These two mandates are material and labor intensive in nature. As a result, Transmission plans to spend a total of MK13.3 billion, MK14.8 billion, MK16.5 billion, and MK18.4 billion on its operations for financial years 2022 through 2026 respectively.

4.3.3    Depreciation

Depreciation charged on the Regulated Asset Base for the Transmission network is calculated at MK15.7 billion out of which MK2.9 billion is from the Utility Funded Existing Assets, and MK12.8 billion from the Utility Funded New Assets.

4.3.4    Allowed Return

The allowed return has been calculated at MK33.4 billion.

4.4       System Market Operator Licensee

The mandate of System and Market Operator, in line with the Licensing Conditions and obligations, are to manage the Interconnected Power System (IPS) and the Electricity Market of Malawi. The mandate can be broken down into the following obligations-:

  1. To efficiently discharge the obligations imposed upon it by this licence;
  2. To facilitate effective competition in the generation, trade and supply of electricity;
  3. To promote efficiency in the implementation and administration of the Market Rules;
  4. To efficiently implement and manage the balancing and settlement as provided by the Market Rules;
  5. To produce plans of expected system operation pursuant to the relevant provisions of the Market Rules;
  6. To assist the Single Buyer in the preparation of the Year Ahead Plan;
  7. To produce intra-year system operation planning; and
  8. To centrally administer a planning process for the long-term operation of reservoirs with storage capacity

4.3.1    Revenue Requirements of SMO

This section contains information regarding required financial resources for the System and Market Operator (SMO). This covers Operational Expenditure, Capital Expenditure and Capital Projects planned for SMO operations in the next four (4) years.

The asset values are input into the Financial Model to determine the revenue requirement for SMO. Previously SMO was allocated small revenue requirement which culminated into the SMO tariff of MK00.62/kWh due to anomaly in accounting SMO Assets. The SMO assets of SCADA and Communications were allocated to Transmission Licensee account instead of that of SMO. In this Business Plan, this anomaly has been corrected; SCADA and Communications have been moved into SMO accounts.

Table 8: System Market Operator Licensee Revenue Requirements

REVENUE REQUIREMENT Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 TOTAL
Opex MWK ‘000 4,396,717 4,862,969 5,389,137 6,001,952 20,650,775
Depreciation MWK ‘000 569,451 758,786 1,118,940 1,912,102 4,359,279
Return MWK ‘000 742,680 888,674 1,311,368 2,249,014 5,191,737
Total MWK ‘000 5,708,848 6,510,429 7,819,446 10,163,069 30,201,791
OPERATING EXPENSES Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 TOTAL
Payroll MWK ‘000 2,009,759 2,210,735 2,431,808 2,674,989 9,327,291
Services, supplies and sundries MWK ‘000 1,362,594 1,514,583 1,683,526 1,887,948 6,448,650
Maintenance MWK ‘000 303,218 337,040 377,965 427,965 1,446,187
Operations MWK ‘000 164,078 182,380 204,525 231,582 782,565
Training expenses MWK ‘000 257,209 285,900 320,615 363,028 1,226,752
Share of Head Office Cost MWK ‘000 299,859 332,332 370,698 416,441 1,419,330
Total MWK ‘000 4,396,717 4,862,969 5,389,137 6,001,952 20,650,775
REGULATED ASSET BASE Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 TOTAL
NET ASSETS
Existing Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 3,563,153 3,098,203 2,655,706 2,221,168 2,221,168
New Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 638,371 1,965,658 4,990,066 11,161,474 11,161,474
Total Assets – Utility Funded MWK ‘000 4,201,524 5,063,862 7,645,772 13,382,642 13,382,642
DEPRECIATION
Existing network Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 478,255 464,949 442,498 434,538 1,820,240
New network Assets- Utility funded MWK ‘000 91,196 293,836 676,443 1,477,564 2,539,039
Total Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 569,451 758,786 1,118,940 1,912,102 4,359,279
GROSS ASSETS
Existing Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 6,657,264 6,657,264 6,657,264 6,657,264 6,657,264
New Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 729,567 1,621,123 3,700,850 7,648,972 7,648,972
Total – Utility funded MWK ‘000 7,386,832 8,278,388 10,358,115 14,306,237 14,306,237
HO Share – Existing Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 787,756 787,756 787,756 787,756 787,756
HO Share – New Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 93,067 119,970 277,759 736,107 736,107
Total – Utility funded (excl HO) MWK ‘000 6,506,009 7,370,662 9,292,601 12,782,374 12,782,374
WORKING CAPITAL
Working Capital MWK ‘000 382,923 421,777 449,095 500,163 500,163
RAB
Net Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 4,201,524 5,063,862 7,645,772 13,382,642 13,382,642
Working Capital MWK ‘000 382,923 421,777 449,095 500,163 500,163
RAB MWK ‘000 4,584,447 5,485,639 8,094,866 13,882,805 13,882,805
INVESTMENT COST Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26
WACC nominal pre-tax % 16.2% 16.2% 16.2% 16.2%
Depreciation MWK ‘000 569,451 758,786 1,118,940 1,912,102 4,359,279
Allowed Return MWK ‘000 742,680 888,674 1,311,368 2,249,014 5,191,737
Total MWK ‘000 742,680 888,674 1,311,368 2,249,014 5,191,737

4.3.2    OPEX Plan

The activities of SMO are predominantly operational and are human capital intensive. Most of the transactions require professional staff as indicated in the previous sections. Therefore, SMO intends to spend about MK2 billion, MK2.2 billion, MK2.4 billion, MK2.6 billion for Payroll for financial years 2022 through 2026.

4.3.3    Depreciation

Depreciation charged on the Regulated Asset Base for the SMO assets and equipment is calculated at MK4.4 billion out of which MK1.8 billion is from the Utility Funded Existing Assets, and MK2.5 billion from the Utility Funded New Assets.

4.3.4    Allowed Return

The total SMO allowed return for the 2022-26 Base Tariff period has been calculated at MK5.2 billion.

4.4       Distribution Licensee Costs

The Distribution Licensee (DL) was formed by an Act of Parliament of the Republic of Malawi under (Section 20 [2] of the Electricity (Amendment) Act 2016. The DL has a legal mandate to perform the following duties and functions:

  1. Plan, build operate and maintain the distribution network in Malawi.
  2.  Supply electricity to consumers.
  3. Take meter readings, prepare and deliver invoices, and collect payments from consumers.
  4. Provide information to the Single Buyer licensee for planning and forecasts purposes.
  5. Coordinate the operation of the distribution system with the System and Market Operator licensee.
  6. Forecast the electricity consumption in each node or zone supplied by the licensee at every time segment of the day; and
  7. Provide information to the System and Market Operator licensee for the daily generation dispatch.

Besides the tasks of planning, constructing, operating, maintaining Distribution network and provision of customer services functions, the Licensee is also responsible for implementation of some key activities within its area of operations such as prepayment metering, retailing, customer services and demand side management.

    Table 9: Distribution Revenue Requirements  
REVENUE REQUIREMENT Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 TOTAL
Opex MWK ‘000 77,729,958 84,923,451 93,325,921 103,224,340 359,203,669
Depreciation MWK ‘000 8,471,270 18,067,674 33,833,406 56,069,184 116,441,534
Return MWK ‘000 25,332,392 48,458,378 82,460,055 126,920,955 283,171,779
Total MWK ‘000 111,533,620 151,449,503 209,619,381 286,214,478 758,816,983
OPERATING EXPENSES Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 TOTAL
Payroll MWK ‘000 24,445,674 26,890,241 29,579,265 32,537,192 113,452,373
Services, supplies and sundries MWK ‘000 10,119,919 11,248,736 12,614,611 14,283,372 48,266,637
Maintenance MWK ‘000 13,142,911 14,608,924 16,382,810 18,550,058 62,684,704
Operations MWK ‘000 4,502,651 5,004,895 5,612,614 6,355,095 21,475,255
Service Drops (Incl free connections) MWK ‘000 10,401,377 10,401,377 10,401,377 10,401,377 41,605,508
Training expenses MWK ‘000 4,522,985 5,027,497 5,637,960 6,383,794 21,572,236
Share of Head Office Cost MWK ‘000 10,594,441 11,741,781 13,097,283 14,713,453 50,146,957
Total MWK ‘000 77,729,958 84,923,451 93,325,921 103,224,340 359,203,669
  REGULATED ASSET BASE Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 TOTAL
NET ASSETS
Existing Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 58,426,694 55,055,380 52,108,992 49,127,207 49,127,207
New Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 62,783,584 197,222,250 404,746,247 677,718,226 677,718,226
Total Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 121,210,278 252,277,631 456,855,239 726,845,433 726,845,433
DEPRECIATION
Existing network Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 3,930,381 3,553,422 3,128,496 2,981,785 13,594,084
New network Assets- Utility funded MWK ‘000 4,540,889 14,514,252 30,704,909 53,087,399 102,847,450
Total Utility funded MWK ‘000 8,471,270 18,067,674 33,833,406 56,069,184 116,441,534
GROSS ASSETS
Existing Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 88,765,253 88,765,253 88,765,253 88,765,253 88,765,253
New Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 67,324,473 148,952,919 238,228,906 326,059,377 326,059,377
Total Utility funded MWK ‘000 156,089,726 237,718,172 326,994,159 414,824,630 414,824,630
HO Share – Existing Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 27,832,532 27,832,532 27,832,532 27,832,532 27,832,532
HO Share – New Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 3,288,193 7,526,919 17,340,526 43,348,233 43,348,233
Total Utility funded (excl HO) MWK ‘000 124,969,001 202,358,722 281,821,101 343,643,866 343,643,866
WORKING CAPITAL
Working Capital MWK ‘000 35,162,511 46,848,159 52,157,444 56,617,251 56,617,251
RAB
Net Assets – Utility funded MWK ‘000 121,210,278 252,277,631 456,855,239 726,845,433 726,845,433
Working Capital MWK ‘000 35,162,511 46,848,159 52,157,444 56,617,251 56,617,251
RAB MWK ‘000 156,372,788 299,125,790 509,012,683 783,462,684 783,462,684
INVESTMENT COST Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 TOTAL
WACC nominal pre-tax % 16.2% 16.2% 16.2% 16.2% 16.2%
Depreciation MWK ‘000 8,471,270 18,067,674 33,833,406 56,069,184 116,441,534
Allowed Return MWK ‘000 25,332,392 48,458,378 82,460,055 126,920,955 283,171,779
Total MWK ‘000 25,332,392 48,458,378 82,460,055 126,920,955 283,171,779
   
   

4.4.1    Distribution Revenue Requirements

The total Revenue Requirement for the Distribution Licensee is MK758.8 billion composed of MK359 billion OPEX, MK116.4 billion Depreciation and MK283.2 billion Return on Asset.

The table below presents the total Revenue Requirements for the Distribution Licensee in order to discharge its mandate to its stakeholders.

4.4.2    OPEX Plan

Apart from building and expanding the Distribution system, the Licensee is also mandated to operate and maintain the Distribution network in Malawi. These mandates are material and labor intensive in nature. As a result, Distribution plans to spend a total of MK77.7 billion, MK84.9 billion, MK93.3 billion, and MK103.2 billion on its operations within the 2022-26 Base Tariff period respectively

4.4.3    Depreciation

Depreciation charged on the Regulated Asset Base for Distribution Licensee network assets and equipment is calculated at MK116.4 billion out of which MK13.6 billion is from the Utility Funded Existing Assets and MK102.9 billion from the Utility Funded New Assets.

4.4.4    Allowed Return

The total Distribution Licensee allowed return for the 2022-26 Base Tariff period has been calculated at MK283.2 billion.

4.5.      DISTRIBUTION TARIFF

There is a significant increase in the distribution tariff from the third base tariff period due to the need to ensure improved customer service, sustainability of the power sector and acceleration of electricity access, among others. The average tariff is therefore MK94.35/kWh.

DISTRIBUTION TARIFF Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Total
Distribution Own Costs MK ‘000            111,533,620         151,449,503       209,619,381         286,214,478        758,816,982
Energy Billed to Customers kWh         1,516,197,723      2,023,599,119    2,149,733,176      2,176,711,284     7,866,241,303
Distribution Tariff MK/kWh 73.56 74.84 97.51 131.49 94.35

6.0       BULK TARIFF

The bulk tariff revenue requirement comprises power purchase costs and revenue requirements for all licensees excluding the Distribution licensee. The average bulk tariff is MK113.37/kWh.

BULK TARIFF Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Total
Purchased energy from power plants MK ‘000 44,242,675 73,277,827 82,562,823 82,750,733 282,834,058
Purchased capacity from power plants MK ‘000 69,009,120 69,752,686 71,445,991 72,667,309 282,875,106
Wheeling charges MK ‘000 4,350,816 5,801,088 5,801,088 15,952,991
Transmission Own Cost MK ‘000 18,503,663 23,861,839 30,685,984 39,096,082 112,147,568
SMO Own cost MK ‘000 5,708,848 6,510,429 7,819,446 10,163,069 30,201,792
SB Own cost MK ‘000 7,696,764 5,721,131 6,268,309 6,790,202 26,476,407
Escrow/Stabilization Costs MK ‘000 28,312,949 35,757,628 38,502,203 38,854,510 141,427,291
Total Bulk Cost MK ‘000 173,474,019 219,232,357 243,085,843 256,122,993 891,915,212
Energy Billed to Customers kWh 1,516,197,723 2,023,599,119 2,149,733,176 2,176,711,284 7,866,241,303
Bulk Tariff MK/kWh 114.41 108.34 113.08 117.67 113.37

7.0       SUMMARY OF TARIFF COMPONENTS

Component Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Average Percentage
Power Purchase Cost MK/kWh 74.69 70.68 71.64 71.40 72.10 35%
Wheeling charges Tariff MK/kWh 2.15 2.70 2.67 1.88 1%
Transmission Tariff MK/kWh 12.20 11.79 14.27 17.96 14.06 7%
SMO Tariff MK/kWh 3.77 3.22 3.64 4.67 3.82 2%
SB Tariff MK/kWh 5.08 2.83 2.92 3.12 3.48 2%
Stabilization Fund Tariff MK/kWh 18.67 17.67 17.91 17.85 18.03 9%
Distribution Tariff MK/kWh 73.56 74.84 97.51 131.49 94.35 45%
Total End User Tariff MK/kWh 187.98 183.18 210.59 249.15 207.72  

8.0       END USER TARIFF

The average end user tariff for the base tariff period has increase to MK207.72/kWh from an average of MK104.46/kWh in the third base tariff period. This represents an increase of 99%. This increase is mainly due to EGENCO power plant tariffs which have been revised to ensure cost reflectivity of the tariff; Inclusion of the Stabilization Fund and efforts to improve service delivery to customers by the Distribution Licensee. Additionally, the devaluation of the kwacha has  contributed to the significant increase in power purchase costs.

END USER TARIFF Unit 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 Average
Bulk Tariff MK /kWh 114.41 108.34 113.08 117.67 113.37
Distribution Tariff MK /kWh 73.56 74.84 97.51 131.49 94.35
End User Tariff MK /kWh 187.98 183.18 210.59 249.15 207.72

7.0       SUBMISSION

The proposed Revenue Requirement is based on cost recovery principles to allow the licensees to recover cost of service including a reasonable return on capital, encourage efficiency in the delivery of service to customers and improve financial sustainability. Licensee revenue requirements have been separately identified as per the requirements of the 2017 Tariff Methodology.

Submitted for your consideration and approval.